Sunday, August 10, 2014

Regarding the illegal immigrants in the United States

                                  illusion vs. reality


Today, we have a major disconnect between, on one hand, the United States economic and financial system that is in complete decline, and on the other hand, the illusion that new immigrants have regarding the United States prospect for the future.

All these years, Hollywood movies have served as a marketing tool to promote the United States as a great place for people to come to get a better life, to get an education, enjoy a high standard of living, a good healthcare, a real Shangri-la.

That is the movie version of the United States, and the world of illusion, but the reality is very different, and life is really tough in the US for most people, and it's getting even tougher by the day.

The illegal immigrants

Over the years I wrote a number of times about the subject of illegal immigrants to the United States.

There is an old fact that you very rarely see in any article anywhere about the illegal immigrants who came to the United States – this was a fact during the decades of the 1980's, 1990's up to the year 2000 – about 50 percent of the illegal immigrants who took a chance, and came to the United States to try for a better life, they didn't make it, and they returned home or moved on to some other country to try again.

There were many reasons why these people didn't make it in the US, they got discouraged because they could not find a job, they had a hard time learning the language, they missed their loved one in the country where they came from, they were lonely in the US, and many other reasons.

Since the 9/11 terrorist attack in the US, everything turned a lot harder for illegal immigrants to survive in the United States, because of new laws that made it very hard for an illegal immigrant to survive in the US.

To make things a lot worse, since the collapse of the US economy in 2008, jobs became very scarce in the US economy, and millions of these illegal immigrants did work in the construction industry, and jobs became hard to find in that industry, because of the collapse of that industry, and many of these people had no choice other than return home.

The other trend that makes life very hard to illegal immigrants, is that the American people are very frustrated and angry that these illegal immigrants are taking the scarce jobs from the people who born in the United States.

The official bullshit figure that the US government publish every month regarding the unemployment rate, it is around 6.2 percent, but the real figure as calculated by economist John Williams the real unemployment rate is around 24 percent today.

Today a lot of people who would like to take a chance and became an illegal immigrant in the United States is not even trying to come, because they know that it's becoming each time harder for anyone to survive as an illegal immigrant in the US.

Regarding Deportations

Today, the new laws make it easier than ever before to deport illegal immigrants. They have almost 1 million people waiting to be deported. The first offense an illegal immigrant can stay in jail up to 9 months before they get deported, but if the offender have been deported before, then he/she need to serve 48 months in a State Prison. Then they get deported.

The New York Times – April 6, 2014

More Deportations Follow Minor Crimes, Records Show

...The Times analysis is based on government data covering more than 3.2 million deportations over 10 years, obtained under the Freedom of Information Act, and provides a more detailed portrait of the deportations carried out under Mr. Obama.

...Immigration officials set a goal of 400,000 deportations a year — a number that was scrawled on a whiteboard at their Washington headquarters. The agency deployed more agents to the border, according to several former immigration officials, where finding and removing illegal immigrants is legally and politically easier.


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I had posted this information on Facebook on 050414

Bill: Your article about the Mexicans returning home is from January 2014. Here is what I posted on the Elite Trader forum on September 13, 2012 on this subject:

My screen name on the ET forum was: SouthAmerica

January 5, 2008

SouthAmerica: I mentioned a number of times on this forum that thousands of Brazilians are returning to Brazil – legal and illegal immigrants. And that is also happening to other groups of foreigners who were living in the United States.

The Exodus is going on…..

Another example and also a clue to this trend you can find out by looking the figures related to cash transfer businesses in the US such as Western Union that many of these foreign workers use their services to send money home to their families. (We are talking about billions and billions of US dollars here.)

In 2007 many of these cash transfer businesses were saying that the amount of these money transfers had declined drastically when compared with prior years and some were saying that the amounts of transfer had declined by 30 to 40 percent from the prior year.

These declines are a combination of two things: first, many illegal immigrants are returning home, and second, the ones who still living in the United States are having a problem earning money as in prior years – many of these people work in the housing construction business.

These are people who have initiative, they want to prosper at any cost, they are hard workers, these are the people who took a chance and moved to a foreign land on their pursuit of a better life, these are people who would find any type of work, and they are not afraid of getting their hands dirty – these are the type of people who serve as engines that help the economic pie to grow.

When this type of people starts giving up on a country such as the US, and they start moving to a better pasture in some place else - then you know your economic system has a real problem.


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May 5, 2008

SouthAmerica: Reply to Yannis

...By the way, things are getting so bad in the United States that we have an Exodus of illegal immigrants going back to where they came from. On May 1, 2008 The New York Times had a front page story “Fewer Latinos In US Sending Money Home.”

These illegal immigrants are the canary on the coalmine when it comes to the American economy – they are giving you advanced notice to all the troubles that are already affecting the US economy.


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May 9, 2008

SouthAmerica: Thousands and thousands of illegal immigrants have been heading home since last year – and these people are the canary on the coalmine.

Everything that is good eventually it will come to an end.


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November 13, 2010

SouthAmerica: Reply to The....

...The US economy had a complete meltdown and collapsed in 2008. And since that time the US economy has been on intensive care, the patient still is in a coma, and have been kept alive by massive US government intervention, massive US government guarantees, by major Wall Street bailouts, by fudging the books with accounting shenanigans - and the new economic recovery is based on a lot of wishful thinking, and also on the economy that does not exist anymore including all the pieces of Wall Street that went out of business, the thousands of auto dealerships and automobile plants that closed down - and now the Republicans are expecting that all these businesses that don't exist anymore are going to come back from the dead, and they will start hiring people again to help with the economic recovery here in the United States.

The US economy is finish - the US economic system is in a lot worse shape than most people realized.

The US economy is in critical condition with very high unemployment, which is going to get worse in the coming years - the truth is the US economy is spinning completely out of control and imploding.

The human capital (the well educated people with higher levels of education) is leaving the United States at an alarming rate and going to places where there's some kind of future for them such as Brazil, India, China, and so on...(In 2008 alone 100,000 Indians went to India and this new generation who are leaving the country are made up of a very well educated people with PhD's and other science degrees these are the guys who start the high-tech companies in Silicon Valley and in other parts of the USA. The reason they are leaving the US and going to India, it's because they think the future is going to be created there, and not in the United States.)

The mainstream media here in the United States never say a word on this subject, but in the last 3 years the United States had reverse illegal immigration - that means that there are more illegal immigrants leaving the United States than illegal immigrants coming in - the net loss of illegal immigrants has been around 2 million people during that period – and you can see what is happening with this reverse illegal immigration not only by the exodus that has been happening around the communities where these illegal immigrants used to live, but also in the large decline of the amount of money that these illegal immigrants used to send home to help their families.

This trend of reverse immigration has not happened in the United States in a long time probably in over 100 years. These reverse illegal immigration is the “canary in the coalmine” and represents a major alert signal to the implosion that is happening inside the US economy, since these illegal immigrants are the type of people who would take any type of job to survive and to help their families.

As I mentioned to you the US economy can't create jobs, and the real unemployment rate is much higher than the official figures.

But today, the political landscape is changing for the worse in the United States with the latest election - with the major political parties splitting the US Congress and at this critical turning point in US history the current president of the United States will not be able to do anything in the next 2 years. We are going to have a complete paralysis in Washington at a time when what is left of the US economy is imploding, self-destructing, and in critical condition.

And don't forget that at a time of this major economic decline the baby boomers are going to put even more pressure on the system, since for now on every year the US government has to carry about an extra 3 million people, and pay the costs related to Social Security, Medicare, Medicaid, and so on. The number of people depending on these government entitlements is growing very fast from 40 million people to 72 million people in a very short period of time.

Every place you look at you can see signs of massive decline of the US economy. The Shuttle space program is having its final voyage into space in the coming weeks then NASA is laying-off thousands of high power scientists in Florida, and in California – and keep in mind that NASA has been for a long time one of the symbols of American advanced technology – this NASA implosion it's just another sign of American decline and that the American economic system has become completely obsolete.

Today I realized the United States economy has reached the end of the line, and now it's just a matter of time for the rest of the world to arrive to the same conclusion.

The implosion of the economy of declining empires happen much faster today than in the past - today it happens at the speed of light.

On top of all that we have had millions of jobs lost to new technology – there are more jobs that got replaced by new technology than people realized – and these jobs will never return to the US or the global economy.


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April 29, 2012

SouthAmerica: The article said: “According to a report this week by the Pew Hispanic Center, the net flow of migrants from Mexico to the US has ground to a halt and may even have reversed after decades during which about 12m Mexicans moved to the US – as many as half of them without immigration papers.”

When even the Mexicans are returning home that means that today the US has an imploding economy that is nothing to write home about it.

The other day the Financial Times had another article about the exodus of well educated people (human capital with master degrees, and PhD's) who are returning to the countries where their parents came from – we are talking about 100's of thousands of very well educated young human capital who are leaving the United States because they think the best days of the US economy is long gone.

The standard of living in Brazil is in the way up for a fast growing middle class in that country – contrast that with the declining standard of living in the United States that is heading south very fast – for example: in the last 10 years over 30 million people moved up to the middle class in Brazil, and at the same time the food-stamp program for destitute people in the United States grew by another 30 million people.


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June 8, 2012

SouthAmerica: To answer your question: For all practical purposes there were 1.3 million Brazilians living in the United States out of 2 million Brazilians living outside of Brazil. But that was before 2008, since then we have had an exodus of Brazilians leaving the United States to go back to Brazil, today the new estimated number would be close to 900 thousand people instead of 1.3 million people.

Anyway, the 1.3 million Brazilians that used to be living in the United States was split right in the middle – half were legal immigrants and the other half were illegal immigrants. About 800 thousand people where living in the New York/New Jersey/Connecticut area, about 200 thousand in New England Boston area, about 200 thousand in Florida, and another 100 thousand across the country.

By the way, I would suggest that out of the 900 thousand Brazilians that still live in the United States at least half of these people should go back to Brazil, before they are not allowed to live the US anymore.

That fence that they are building in the border with Mexico is not to keep illegal immigrants from coming into the United States - as the US turn into a police state that fence will keep Americans and foreigners from leaving the United States - just like the Berlin Wall.

The wall is being built to keep people from leaving the country and not the other way around.


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Monday, May 5, 2014
The United States and the Death of a Superpower



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Tuesday, March 18, 2014

After the Empire and the Collapsing American Order
By: Ricardo C. Amaral


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Tuesday, May 17, 2011

The Final Collapse of the US Dollar


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Brazzil Magazine – October 2007

"The Smartest Thing China Could Do Right Now: Invest US$ 200 Billion in Brazil"
Written by Ricardo C. Amaral

…The final conclusion is: It's imperative that China move forward in an aggressive fashion and implement with Brazil the plan described in this four-part series of articles. And China should look at it as a matter of national security and future survival.

Monday, 01 October 2007 - Part 1 of 4


Friday, 05 October 2007 - Part 2 of 4


Thursday, 11 October 2007 - Part 3 of 4


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Copyright © 2014 by Ricardo C. Amaral - All rights reserved.

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Ricardo C. Amaral
Author and economist

He can be reached at:

brazilamaral@yahoo.com

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